MPM - 48 h

(Mortality Probability Models)

Variables (Help)

Values (1 if yes, 0 otherwise)

Beta

Coma (Glasgow 3-5) at 48 h (Help)

Coma (Glasgow 3-5) at admission (Help)

Emergency admission

Prothrombin time > N + 3 sec
(Measures in the period 24- 48 h)

Cancer part of present problem

Infection confirmed at 48 h

FIO2 > O.5
(Measures in the period 24- 48 h)

Urine output < 150 mL / 8 h
(Measures in the period 24- 48 h)

Total hours of i.v. vasoactive drugs

Logit =
Logit = Sum ( values * beta) + age * 0.042383 + Hours of ventilation * 0.021409 + Hours of drugs* 0.017262 - 5.8601
Predicted death rate =
(e^Logit) / (1 + e^Logit)

Total hours of mechanical ventilation

Age

Predicted Death Rate :

... .... . . .

Ref : Lemeshow S et al. Refining intensive care unit outcome prediction by using changing probabilities of mortality. Crit Care Med. 1988;16:470-477

Web page by : Jean-Yves Marandon Centre Chirurgical Marie Lannelongue (France)

Back to the page

Patients excluded :

Coronary care
Cardiac surgery
Burn patients
Age < 14 years

Back to MPM-48

Back to MPM-48

Eyes Open	Verbal	Motor
Spontaneous To sSpeech To pain Absent	Converses / Oriented Converses / Disoriented Inappropriate Incomprehensible Absent	Obeys Localizes pain Withdraws (flexion) Decorticate (flexion) rigidity Decerebrate(extension) rigidity Absent

Variables (Help)	Values (1 if yes, 0 otherwise)	Beta
Coma (Glasgow 3-5) at 48 h (Help)
Coma (Glasgow 3-5) at admission (Help)
Emergency admission
Prothrombin time > N + 3 sec (Measures in the period 24- 48 h)
Cancer part of present problem
Infection confirmed at 48 h
FIO2 > O.5 (Measures in the period 24- 48 h)
Urine output < 150 mL / 8 h (Measures in the period 24- 48 h)
Total hours of i.v. vasoactive drugs		Logit = Logit = Sum ( values * beta) + age * 0.042383 + Hours of ventilation * 0.021409 + Hours of drugs* 0.017262 - 5.8601 Predicted death rate = (e^Logit) / (1 + e^Logit)
Total hours of mechanical ventilation
Age
Predicted Death Rate : ... .... . . .