MPM - 24 h

(Mortality Probability Models)

Variables (Help)

Values (1 if yes, 0 otherwise)

Beta

Coma (Glasgow 3-5) (Help)

Cancer part of present problem

Emergency admission

Probable shock

Urine output < 150 mL / 8 h

Infection confirmed

Prothrombin time > N + 3 sec

Creatinine > 2.0 mg/dL ( >177 micromol/L)

PaO2 < 60 mmHg ( < 7.98 kPa )

FIO2 > O.5

Surgical service at 24 h

Number of lines (Help)

Logit =
Logit = Sum ( values * beta) + age * 0.044142 + Hours * 0.026336 + Lines * 0.15376 - 6.5288
Predicted death rate = (eLogit) / (1 + eLogit)

Hours of mechanical ventilation

Age

Predicted Death Rate :

... .... . . .

Ref : Lemeshow S et al. Refining intensive care unit outcome prediction by using changing probabilities of mortality. Crit Care Med. 1988;16:470-477  

 

 Web page by : Jean-Yves Marandon Centre Chirurgical Marie Lannelongue (France) 

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Patients excluded :

Coronary care
Cardiac surgery
Burn patients
Age < 14 years

Constant ( -6.5917 ) has been subsequently substituted by (-6.5288) (personal communication from S. Lemeshow)

 

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Eyes Open

Verbal

Motor

Spontaneous
To speech
To pain
Absent

Converses / Oriented
Converses / Disoriented
Inapropriate
Incomprehensible
Absent

Obeys
Localizes pain
Withdraws (flexion)
Decorticate (flexion) rigidity
Decerebrate (extension) rigidity
Absent
Glasgow=

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Number of lines :

Arterial and i.v. lines
Endotracheal or tracheostomy tube
Foley catheter
Pacing wires (counted as 1 line)
Chest tubes (counted individually)
NG tube
Drains, sumps
The abdomen is considered in quadrants with all drains / sumps in a particular quadrant counted as one "line"
"Texas" catheters are excluded